Risk Management

07
Jan
Split black graphic: red “APPLE AT 37x EARNINGS” left, green “I’M HOLDING” right.

Is Apple Worth 37x Earnings? My Unpopular Answer

I own Apple. It's about 35% of my portfolio. And I just wrote a piece explaining why it looks expensive. That's not a contradiction. That's the whole point. The question isn't 'is Apple expensive today?' The question is 'does Apple still belong in my portfolio?' Different question. Different answer.
4 min read
26
Dec
Shopping bag labeled “RETURN” filled with stock cards under text “RETURN BAD STOCKS.”

Boxing Day for Your Portfolio

Boxing Day isn’t just for returning bad gifts—use it to return bad positions. Go line by line through your portfolio and ask: “If this were cash today, would I buy it right now?” If the answer’s no, it’s clutter, not an investment.
1 min read
19
Dec
dark background with a falling red stock line, bold yellow text saying “RED ISN'T CHEAP” and a red -40% price tag, highlighting that big drawdowns aren't real bargains.

Down 40% Still Isn’t “Cheap”

A stock that’s down 40% isn’t automatically a bargain. It’s just lower. Here’s how to tell if you’re buying a real business on sale—or just catching a broken story on its way to the basement.
2 min read
12
Dec
Dark blue thumbnail with neon text “Home Depot – Great Business, Bad Entry” beside a glowing house outline with an orange HD square, signaling a cautious stance on HD stock.

Investing Tip: If You Can’t Say It in One Line, You Don’t Have a Thesis

Most investors don’t have a thesis—they have a story and a ticker. I force every idea into one plain-English sentence I can test a year later. If I can’t, I don’t buy. You don’t need more ideas. You need fewer, clearer ones.
2 min read
21
Nov
Dark financial graphic showing the words “Growth Stocks” with a bold yellow arrow rising upward, symbolizing both opportunity and volatility in the market.

Understanding the Risks and Rewards of Growth Stocks for DIY Investors

Growth stocks create millionaires and wipe them out just as fast. The difference isn't luck- it's discipline. Learn how to spot real growth, avoid hype, and survive the volatility that kills most DIY investors before they ever see the payoff.
2 min read
17
Nov
Dark blue thumbnail with grid and candlestick chart, bold text “MATH OVER HYPE” and subtitle “Why Most Investors Are Doing This Wrong

Math Over Hype: Why Most Investors Are Doing This Wrong

Stop chasing narratives. Start reading balance sheets.
3 min read
27
Oct
Line chart showing price levels rising sharply during premarket hours (3–9:30 AM ET) and falling once the market opens, illustrating how premarket hype fades after the open.

Early Birds and Duds: Unpacking Premarket Moves with a Veteran's Eye

Today's premarket darlings could be tomorrow's duds. Let's dive deeper before you dive in.
2 min read
04
Oct
JNJ thumbnail with bold text ‘Dividend King or Lawsuit Trap?’ over a gavel and pill bottle.

$JNJ: Dividend King or Lawsuit Trap?

JNJ isn’t broken. But at $188, you’re paying growth multiples for a dividend stock with unlimited liability. That’s not prudent — that’s hopeful.
2 min read
19
Sep
Graphic of asset allocation pie chart with stock tickers AAPL, JNJ, and KO. Text reads Asset Allocation with ‘Asset’ in red and ‘Allocation’ in blue on a dark navy background.

What is Asset Allocation?

Asset allocation isn’t just stocks vs bonds. It’s the skeleton of your portfolio — built on time, goals, and risk tolerance. Get it wrong, and nothing else works.
3 min read
17
Sep
Graphic showing the phrase ‘What is Risk Tolerance?’ with a gauge indicator. The word ‘RISK’ is red, and the word ‘TOLERANCE’ is blue on a dark background.

What is Risk Tolerance?

Risk tolerance isn’t a quiz score. It’s your breaking point — the point where volatility forces you to sell or proves you can hold. Here’s how to find it.
3 min read
Questions? Email Phaetrix